The water was turned off on the primary, concrete spillway today so that the damage could be evaluated.
The damage so revealed is... breathtaking. With another month of rainy season to go, adding to that the melting of the large sierra snowpack yet to come, the danger from spillway failure is likely still acute:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UyvDPt-HU3g
And (in this video, especially note how close to the upstream floodgates the damage has progressed):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UpMkBTFxKrc
When the damage was initially discovered, it was mentioned that the original damage occurred approximately 2/3 of the way down the spillway, towards the river. This appears to be no longer the case - these new videos appear to indicate that the concrete spillway has eroded upstream towards the floodgates, to the point that now only a little more than half of the entire original spillway remains intact.
And when the floodgates are again opened (and water releases resume), as indeed they must be because there are still inflows to the lake, the concrete spillway will continue to erode towards the floodgates.
The initial damage to the concrete spillway, and that portion of the spillway itself that was originally damaged, is no longer there. The damage gone, along with a very large portion of the lower part of the spillway. There is a large canyon where this portion of the spillway used to be.
I am not sure it will be possible to effect reconstruction and repairs of this primary, concrete, spillway before the next rainy season arrives, generally in October. Construction could not start until the rainy season is over, and inflows into the lake have ceased (because the spillway would need to be shut down) - which probably means April. About six months of repair time.
The concrete spillway has eroded upstream to where the hillside is very steep, creating a dynamic waterfall from the spillway into this new canyon, undercutting the concrete under the waterfall and causing erosion to progress upstream towards the floodgates even further.
There is still an "evacuation warning" for the city of Oroville (but not for the city of Yuba City). The reason: "if something should go wrong, people need to be prepared".
Department of Water Resources Press Conference 2-27-17:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OL1bb8w04Qw
This is extremely odd. If something "goes wrong" for the city of Oroville (requiring an evacuation of the city of Oroville), the exact same thing will be "going wrong" downstream for the city of Yuba City about an hour or so later.
But, so far as I can discover, there are no evacuation "advisories" or any other kind of evacuation statement for the city of Yuba City.
I live in the city of Yuba City.
Stay tuned.
Anne